Heritage Commerce Corp Stock Performance
| HTBK Stock | USD 13.23 0.09 0.68% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Heritage Commerce holds a performance score of 23. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.03, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Heritage Commerce returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Heritage Commerce is expected to follow. Please check Heritage Commerce's semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Heritage Commerce's current trending patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Commerce Corp are ranked lower than 23 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite fragile fundamental drivers, Heritage Commerce disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.68) | Five Day Return (0.53) | Year To Date Return 9.7 | Ten Year Return 41.5 | All Time Return 50.51 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.039 | Payout Ratio | Last Split Factor 11:10 | Forward Dividend Rate 0.52 | Dividend Date 2026-02-19 |
| Heritage Commerce dividend paid on 20th of November 2025 | 11/20/2025 |
1 | Securities Limited Regain Lost Ground This Quarter - Protective Put Strategies Outstanding Portfolio Growth - Bollywood Helpline | 12/16/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 10493 shares by Robertson Jones of Heritage Commerce subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/08/2026 |
3 | Investment Report Is Heritage Commerce Corp impacted by rising rates - 2025 Major Catalysts Long-Term Growth Plans - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/15/2026 |
4 | Heritage Commerce Corp Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend of 0.13 Per Share | 01/22/2026 |
5 | Heritage Commerce Corp Announces Quarterly Dividend of 0.13 | 01/23/2026 |
6 | Ex-Dividend Reminder Wintrust Financial, Heritage Commerce and NB Bancorp - Nasdaq | 02/03/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Deborah Reuter of 3526 shares of Heritage Commerce subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/04/2026 |
8 | HOLDCO ASSET MANAGEMENT TO PRESENT AT UBS FINANCIAL SERVICES CONFERENCE IN KEY BISCAYNE, FLORIDA RELEASES PRESENTATION | 02/09/2026 |
9 | Heritage Commerce to merge into CVB Financial in 811M all-stock transaction - MSN | 02/12/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 408.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 110.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 37.3 M |
Heritage Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,010 in Heritage Commerce Corp on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 313.00 from holding Heritage Commerce Corp or generate 30.99% return on investment over 90 days. Heritage Commerce Corp is currently generating 0.4631% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5828% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Heritage, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Heritage Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Heritage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.23 | 90 days | 13.23 | about 9.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heritage Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.75 (This Heritage Commerce Corp probability density function shows the probability of Heritage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Heritage Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Heritage Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heritage Commerce Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Heritage Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heritage Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heritage Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heritage Commerce Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heritage Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Heritage Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heritage Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heritage Commerce Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heritage Commerce to merge into CVB Financial in 811M all-stock transaction - MSN |
Heritage Commerce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heritage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heritage Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heritage Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 31.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 614.6 M |
Heritage Commerce Fundamentals Growth
Heritage Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Heritage Commerce, and Heritage Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Heritage Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0684 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0084 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.41 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 830.03 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 61.37 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 19.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.15 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 4.15 X | ||||
| Revenue | 266.14 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 195.65 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 71.21 M | ||||
| Net Income | 40.53 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 876.59 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 14.45 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 39.8 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.05 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 11.55 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 38.97 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.77 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 811.91 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.76 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 203.68 M | ||||
About Heritage Commerce Performance
By examining Heritage Commerce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Heritage Commerce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Heritage Commerce is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (543.43) | (570.60) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.07 | 0.07 |
Things to note about Heritage Commerce Corp performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Heritage Commerce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Heritage Commerce Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Heritage Commerce to merge into CVB Financial in 811M all-stock transaction - MSN |
- Analyzing Heritage Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Heritage Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Heritage Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Heritage Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Heritage Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Heritage Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Heritage Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Heritage Commerce Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. Market participants price Heritage higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Heritage Commerce assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.452 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.177 |
Heritage Commerce Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Heritage's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Heritage Commerce's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Heritage Commerce's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.